IMF: Six Months Into Iran War, Global Economy Remains Uncertain

4 hours ago 1

September 11, 2026 | 10:37 pm

TEMPO.CO, Jakarta - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated on Thursday, September 10, 2026, that the global economy remains resilient despite being six months into the Iran war, but uncertainty remains high.

"So far, despite six months of war in the Middle East, the global economy has been resilient. It has weathered the shocks, the energy shocks in particular, better than feared," IMF Spokesperson Julie Kozack said at a press conference, according to Xinhua, as quoted by Antara.

"But uncertainty, as we've been saying for quite some time, continues to remain high," Kozack said.

The global economy, she said, is being pulled into two opposite directions: a negative supply shock from rising energy and commodity prices, and a positive demand shock from the artificial intelligence (AI)-based technology cycle.

She added that there are "significant differences" in how these two forces affect each economy.

Kozack also noted that several risks to the global economic outlook remain high, including a prolonged energy shock, continued rising public debt, and a stalled disinflation process.

The 2026 IMF and World Bank Group Annual Meetings are scheduled to take place in Bangkok, Thailand, from October 12 to 18.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in late August that resilience and dynamism would be two key topics of discussion at the annual meetings.

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